Discussion on the development path of electric vehicles

In 2008, new energy vehicles began to boom under the impetus of oil prices. In 2009, the "Automotive Industry Adjustment and Revitalization Plan" proposed that by 2011, the sales of new energy vehicles accounted for about 5% of the total sales of passenger vehicles, and the new energy strategic planning and research and development results of the vehicle enterprises have become an important part of the domestic media for a long time. content. By the beginning of 2010, “actively promoting new energy vehicles” was written into the “Government Work Report”, and a new energy vehicle industry’s Nuggets movement was fully launched from top to bottom.

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The development path of electric vehicles is unclear, but the heat wave is choppy.

If it is said that new energy vehicles are still in the research and development and testing stage, then after the State Grid and China Southern Power Grid set up electric vehicle charging stations nationwide, petrochemical giant CNOOC invested 5 billion yuan to build a battery production line for electric vehicles. Sinopec announced that it has added charging functions to its gas stations in Beijing, which has really opened the prelude to the stage of marketization of electric vehicles.

There is no doubt that it is not easy for electric vehicles to truly move towards private consumers. It requires the coordination of interests of power companies, oil companies, automobile companies, battery manufacturers, local governments and charging station investors. Development path to jointly solve the constraints affecting the industrialization of electric vehicles.

Before the large-scale demonstration operation and promotion of electric vehicles, one of the core problems is that the new energy vehicle industry planning has not yet been issued, and various refinement standards have not yet been established, and the development path of electric vehicles is not clear. In the end, the domestic electric vehicle will be charged with a charging pile in a similar way, and it will follow the route of replacing the battery with a mobile phone. The market is still confused. The construction of charging facilities is also inseparable from the norms and guidance of relevant standards. Although Sinopec and CNOOC have the channel advantages of more than 30,000 gas stations, the operation of charging stations in the same mode before the introduction of national standards is also a problem they have to face.

The large-scale production of electric vehicles will inevitably have to go through a long process, in which the formulation of various industrial standards is a trivial but insurmountable stage. The "New Energy Vehicle Development Plan", which should have been issued at the end of March 2010, has been postponed repeatedly, and it is not unrelated to the current lack of standards. However, if the development path of the new energy automobile industry is not clear, it actually means that stakeholders such as manufacturers, governments and consumers face huge uncertainties in making decisions, thus affecting the enthusiasm of their investment and burying resources. Hidden dangers.

The high manufacturing cost and long charging time of electric vehicles are two difficult obstacles hindering the development of electric vehicles. Is waiting for the revolutionary breakthrough in power battery technology to significantly reduce the cost of battery production, effectively solve the problem of fast charging, or take a different approach, seeking a new solution?

According to reports, the US "Better Place" company and the Tokyo rental giant Japan Transportation Company launched a battery-replaceable electric vehicle in Tokyo as a taxi operation service. This is the first time in the world that a battery-replaceable electric vehicle has been used as a taxi. Obviously this is different from the development direction of plug-in electric vehicles developed by most auto manufacturers.

The electric vehicle development path with replaceable batteries, by separating the battery from the electric car, purchasing an electric car without a power battery, the price can be comparable or even lower than that of a conventional energy car, and the battery depreciation is paid every time the battery is replaced during the use phase. And the electricity bill, so that ordinary users of electric vehicles do not need to wait for charging at the charging station, and also solve the problem of long charging time.

Recently, the domestic auto company Chery signed a cooperation agreement with the US "Better Place" to jointly develop a mass-produced replaceable battery electric vehicle and explore a cooperative mode of cooperation between automobile companies and battery network operators.

Jianghuai Automobile also plans to adopt the "battery lease" mode for the electric vehicles that are being tested in Hefei. The premise is of course that the power battery is separated from the electric vehicle.

Whether China's future electric vehicles are plug-in or battery-changing models are inseparable from the policies and standards of new energy vehicles.

Although, so far, China has formulated and released a total of 42 national and industry standards related to new energy vehicles, of which 22 have been listed as special inspection standards for new energy vehicle product access. However, since the current electric vehicle charging station has not yet formed a unified business model, the "General Requirements for Electric Vehicle Charging Stations", which was issued as a national standard on April 28, only covers the requirements for common parts of different charging modes, but Special requirements in specific modes (such as the battery replacement site and equipment requirements may be included in the binning mode) and some extended functions of the charging station (such as battery testing), which need to be specified separately.

Looking at the development of new energy automobile industry from a deeper sense

It is true that energy and transportation are the two cornerstones of modern society. The transformation of energy and transportation is the most fundamental change in modern society. In this sense, the development of electric vehicles is not as simple as replacing the internal combustion engine cars on the road with motor-driven vehicles, but should be an opportunity for the restructuring of social energy and transportation strategic planning. With this opportunity, we can complete profound changes in the social energy structure and transportation system. The development plan for the new energy automobile industry should be an overall plan including many aspects such as energy structure, power transmission network, charging and related infrastructure, new electric vehicle technology, and new electric economy.

Today, the reason why we propose to develop new energy vehicles and make electric vehicles an important development direction is to solve environmental pollution and greenhouse gas emissions. However, if power companies still rely on non-clean, non-recyclable ways to generate electricity, it is equivalent to transferring the environmental problems of the car to the power companies. Therefore, the issue of the proportion of clean energy in the energy structure should be our primary concern.

At the same time, when a large number of electric vehicles appear, it will bring fundamental changes to the electricity demand characteristics of the whole society, and then challenge the smart grid technology, how to avoid a large amount of power waste during the low tide period of electricity demand, and balance regional power resources. We have to solve the problems that must be solved before the era of electric vehicle popularization.

For the government departments, in the development process of the new energy automobile industry, the responsibility for overall planning and resource coordination and deployment is significant. The breakthrough in electric vehicle technology not only depends on the enterprise itself, but also requires the government to give more guidance. The government coordinates the enterprise resources on the overall development level, conducts joint research, and achieves an overall breakthrough. The layout of the charging network supporting the operation of electric vehicles also requires scientific planning by the government and relevant institutions in order to make breakthroughs in infrastructure construction.

Today, our company has formed a super sensitive sense of smell in a highly competitive market environment, and is full of confidence and desire for the future of the new energy vehicle industry. While we are calling on the government to speed up the pace of development and development of the new energy vehicle industry, we also call on the whole society to slow down its pace and give us more time and space to think.

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